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Úrvalsdeild

July 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik W W W W W W
Keflavik D W D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Keflavik Vikingur Reykjavik 1 - 3 May 3, 2026
Keflavik Vikingur Reykjavik 3 - 3 July 8, 2023
Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik 4 - 1 May 4, 2023
Keflavik Vikingur Reykjavik 0 - 3 September 11, 2022
Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik 4 - 1 April 28, 2022
Keflavik Vikingur Reykjavik 1 - 2 July 19, 2021

Vikingur Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 7, 26 Home Gyori ETO FC 1 - 0 Win
Jul 2, 26 Home KA Akureyri 3 - 2 Win
Jun 25, 26 Away Breidablik 1 - 4 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Fram Reykjavik 0 - 5 Win
Jun 16, 26 Home KR Reykjavik 2 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Valur Reykjavik 1 - 5 Win

Keflavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 6, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Home KR Reykjavik 3 - 2 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Valur Reykjavik 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home FH hafnarfjordur 1 - 2 Loss
May 31, 26 Away IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 - 1 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Thor Akureyri 1 - 0 Win

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 14 13 1 0 48 9 +39 40
8 Keflavik 12 4 3 5 17 23 -6 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.81% likelihood that both Vikingur Reykjavik and Keflavik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Vikingur Reykjavik to win
This prediction indicates that Vikingur Reykjavik has a 73.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.96 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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