Serie A logo

Serie A
Vitoria logo Vitoria
Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Cruzeiro logo Cruzeiro

Match Analysis

Vitoria Cruzeiro
Vitoria L L W L L L
Cruzeiro L W L W D W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cruzeiro Vitoria 3 - 0 April 1, 2026
Cruzeiro Vitoria 3 - 1 November 1, 2025
Vitoria Cruzeiro 0 - 0 June 12, 2025
Vitoria Cruzeiro 2 - 2 August 19, 2024
Cruzeiro Vitoria 3 - 1 April 28, 2024
Vitoria Cruzeiro 3 - 0 November 14, 2021

Vitoria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Bahia 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Botafogo 1 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Flamengo 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Home Palmeiras 0 - 4 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away remo 2 - 0 Loss

Cruzeiro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Vasco DA Gama 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Flamengo 2 - 1 Win
Aug 20, 26 Away Flamengo 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Corinthians 1 - 2 Win
Aug 13, 26 Home Flamengo 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Mirassol 3 - 1 Win

Serie A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Cruzeiro 25 11 6 8 35 36 -1 39
14 Vitoria 25 8 5 12 24 37 -13 29

Predictions

Cruzeiro to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cruzeiro has a 38.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.00 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Serie A

Internacional vs Santos 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG 5 hours ago · 12:30 a.m. › Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama 3 hours ago · 3 a.m. › Coritiba vs Mirassol 10 hours from now · 5 p.m. › remo vs Flamengo 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. ›