VPS vs Gnistan Monday 12th October 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Veikkausliiga

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VPS View team ›

Oct. 12, 2026 1 day, 13 hours ago

1 – 0

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Gnistan View team ›

Match Analysis

VPS Gnistan

VPS L L L W L W

Gnistan D D W D D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Gnistan with a 38% probability. It sees Gnistan as having a modest quality edge and better recent form compared to VPS, which is struggling. However, the model also notes that past meetings between these teams have often ended in draws and with few goals, reflecting a tendency toward tighter, lower-scoring matches. The market odds imply a slightly stronger belief in a home win and are less confident about an away win than the model, while also suggesting slightly fewer goals than the model expects.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gnistan	VPS	1 - 1	June 27, 2026
VPS	Gnistan	1 - 1	May 9, 2026
Gnistan	VPS	0 - 0	August 15, 2025
VPS	Gnistan	0 - 0	June 18, 2025
VPS	Gnistan	0 - 1	October 23, 2024
Gnistan	VPS	3 - 0	August 4, 2024

VPS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 8, 26	Away	HJK helsinki	6 - 0	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	KuPS	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 14, 26	Away	Inter Turku	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Home	AC Oulu	1 - 0	Win
Aug 31, 26	Home	Lahti	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Ilves	0 - 1	Win

Gnistan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 7, 26	Home	Inter Turku	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 18, 26	Home	HJK helsinki	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	AC Oulu	1 - 2	Win
Sep 8, 26	Home	KuPS	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Home	Turku PS	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Away	HJK helsinki	2 - 3	Win

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40	32	+8	42
7	VPS	26	10	6	10	30	31	-1	36

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.97% likelihood that both VPS and Gnistan will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

VPS or Gnistan to win

This prediction indicates that Gnistan has a 37.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.40 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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