Workington vs Whitby Town Tuesday 13th October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Non League Premier - Northern

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Oct. 13, 2026 9 hours ago
1 – 2
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Match Analysis

Workington Whitby Town
Workington L D D W L W
Whitby Town D L L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, matches between Workington and Whitby Town have often ended in draws, but the model predicts a home win for Workington with a 56% probability. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Workington, even though both teams are currently in poor recent form and have similar rest ahead of the match. The market odds also suggest Workington is favored, aligning with the model's view. Additionally, the model believes there's a 55% chance the game will have more than 1.5 goals and a 56% chance it will have more than 2.5 goals, which is somewhat higher than what the odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Whitby Town Workington 0 - 0 January 10, 2026
Workington Whitby Town 1 - 2 August 9, 2025
Whitby Town Workington 1 - 3 January 25, 2025
Workington Whitby Town 3 - 1 September 21, 2024
Workington Whitby Town 0 - 0 January 27, 2024
Whitby Town Workington 1 - 1 November 25, 2023

Workington Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Away Quorn 3 - 0 Loss
Oct 6, 26 Away Warrington Town 2 - 2 Draw
Oct 3, 26 Home Cleethorpes Town 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 29, 26 Away AFC Emley 1 - 3 Win
Sep 19, 26 Away Bury 5 - 1 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Home Ilkeston Town 3 - 1 Win

Whitby Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Bamber Bridge 0 - 0 Draw
Oct 6, 26 Home Gainsborough Trinity 2 - 6 Loss
Sep 29, 26 Home Lancaster City 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away Hyde United 1 - 3 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home Ashton United 2 - 5 Loss
Aug 31, 26 Home Alfreton Town 1 - 4 Loss

Non League Premier - Northern Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Workington 13 6 3 4 23 22 +1 21
16 Whitby Town 12 4 1 7 17 32 -15 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.31% likelihood that both Workington and Whitby Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Workington to win
This prediction indicates that Workington has a 55.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.63 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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