1.FC Köln vs Hertha BSC Friday 31st July 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

1.FC Köln Hertha BSC

1.FC Köln W L L D L D

Hertha BSC D L W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
1.FC Köln	Hertha BSC	0 - 1	April 5, 2025
1.FC Köln	Hertha BSC	1 - 1	December 4, 2024
Hertha BSC	1.FC Köln	0 - 1	November 2, 2024
1.FC Köln	Hertha BSC	5 - 2	May 12, 2023
Hertha BSC	1.FC Köln	2 - 0	November 12, 2022
Hertha BSC	1.FC Köln	1 - 3	January 9, 2022

1.FC Köln Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Away	Bergisch Gladbach	0 - 8	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Bayern München	5 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	FC Heidenheim	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Union Berlin	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Bayer Leverkusen	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Away	FC St. Pauli	1 - 1	Draw

Hertha BSC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Mamelodi Sundowns	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Away	WSG Wattens	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Lokomotive Leipzig	1 - 3	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	Lichtenberg	0 - 9	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Frohnauer	0 - 15	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Arminia Bielefeld	6 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.9% likelihood that both 1.FC Köln and Hertha BSC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

1.FC Köln to win

This prediction indicates that 1.FC Köln has a 44.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.89 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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