3K vs Mara Sugar Sunday 11th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

FKF Premier League

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3K View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 12 hours ago

2 – 2

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Mara Sugar View team ›

Match Analysis

3K Mara Sugar

Mara Sugar L D L W L W

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both 3K and Mara Sugar have been struggling in their recent matches, showing poor form on the field. Despite Mara Sugar having a modest quality edge over their opponents, this hasn't translated into strong performance lately. The model predicts a home win with a 40% probability, which is notably more confident in a 3K victory than the unavailable market odds might suggest, given the teams' similar poor form. Additionally, the model sees a 48% chance that neither team will manage to score, indicating a likely low-scoring game.

Mara Sugar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Murang'a SEAL	2 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	GOR Mahia	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Mathare United	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Shabana	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	AFC Leopards	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	Tusker	0 - 1	Win

FKF Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Mara Sugar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	3K	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

3K to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that 3K has a 40.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.70 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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Mombasa Elite vs Homeboyz 11 hours from now · 3 p.m. › AFC Leopards vs Bandari 11 hours from now · 3 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Mara Sugar Form (Last 6 Matches)

FKF Premier League Table

Predictions

3K to win or Draw

Under 2.5 goals

Comments

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