AC Horsens vs Hobro Saturday 04th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

AC Horsens Hobro

AC Horsens D W W D W W

Hobro W W L D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hobro	AC Horsens	0 - 2	January 30, 2026
AC Horsens	Hobro	3 - 3	October 3, 2025
Hobro	AC Horsens	0 - 1	August 20, 2025
Hobro	AC Horsens	1 - 3	March 8, 2025
AC Horsens	Hobro	2 - 0	September 28, 2024
AC Horsens	Hobro	0 - 1	December 1, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	FC Nordsjaelland	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Kolding IF	1 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Lyngby	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Hvidovre	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Hillerød	4 - 0	Win
Apr 30, 26	Away	Esbjerg	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	Middelfart	3 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Away	HB Koge	0 - 1	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Aarhus Fremad	0 - 3	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	B 93	3 - 3	Draw
May 1, 26	Away	Aalborg	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Aarhus Fremad	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
518	AC Horsens	5	2	1	2	9	7	+2	7
786	Hobro	8	1	2	5	8	13	-5	5

This prediction indicates that AC Horsens has a 38.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.53 %

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