Airdrie United vs Falkirk Tuesday 07th July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Airdrie United Falkirk

Airdrie United D L L D W D

Falkirk L L L W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Falkirk	Airdrie United	2 - 0	March 22, 2025
Airdrie United	Falkirk	0 - 3	March 4, 2025
Falkirk	Airdrie United	2 - 0	November 9, 2024
Airdrie United	Falkirk	0 - 2	September 14, 2024
Falkirk	Airdrie United	0 - 1	May 13, 2023
Airdrie United	Falkirk	6 - 2	May 9, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Elgin City	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	1 - 2	Loss
May 5, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Away	Morton	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Ayr Utd	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Partick	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Rangers	2 - 5	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Heart Of Midlothian	3 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Hibernian	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Motherwell	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Celtic	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Dunfermline	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1415	Airdrie United	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
1629	Falkirk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Falkirk has a 40.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.26 %

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