Akron vs Fakel Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Akron Fakel

Akron L L W L L L

Fakel W D W D D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Akron	Fakel	1 - 0	April 13, 2025
Akron	Fakel	2 - 0	September 18, 2024
Fakel	Akron	1 - 2	August 15, 2024
Fakel	Akron	0 - 2	July 27, 2024
Akron	Fakel	2 - 0	November 17, 2021
Fakel	Akron	1 - 0	August 8, 2021

Akron Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Baltika	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Rotor Volgograd	0 - 1	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Rotor Volgograd	0 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	4 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Home	FC Rostov	1 - 3	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	FC Krasnodar	0 - 1	Loss

Fakel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	0 - 3	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Enisey	2 - 0	Win
Apr 27, 26	Away	Torpedo Moskva	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Home	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Chayka	2 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
102	Akron	7	5	0	2	10	6	+4	15
285	Fakel	8	2	4	2	13	10	+3	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.16% likelihood that both Akron and Fakel will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Score 2 - 2

This prediction indicates that Akron will score 2 goals, and Fakel will score 2 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs