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Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Alcochetense CF Benfica
Alcochetense W L L L W
CF Benfica W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Alcochetense Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 6, 26 Home Fayal 8 - 0 Win
Aug 31, 25 Away Oriental Lisboa 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 10, 23 Away União Micaelense 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 29, 19 Home Leixoes 0 - 4 Loss
Sep 15, 19 Away Velense 0 - 5 Win

CF Benfica Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Viana Alentejo 3 - 0 Win
Sep 22, 24 Away Alcains 4 - 1 Loss
Sep 8, 24 Home Comércio Indústria 4 - 3 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.58% likelihood that both Alcochetense and CF Benfica will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Alcochetense to win
This prediction indicates that Alcochetense has a 50.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.35 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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