Alfreton Town vs Boston United Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Alfreton Town Boston United

Alfreton Town D W D D W D

Boston United W W D W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Alfreton Town	Boston United	3 - 1	February 4, 2023
Boston United	Alfreton Town	1 - 0	November 1, 2022
Alfreton Town	Boston United	1 - 1	March 15, 2022
Boston United	Alfreton Town	2 - 3	January 2, 2022
Boston United	Alfreton Town	2 - 0	December 26, 2020
Alfreton Town	Boston United	1 - 1	August 6, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Curzon Ashton	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Marine	2 - 3	Win
Apr 14, 26	Home	Buxton	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Oxford City	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Away	Leamington	1 - 2	Win
Apr 3, 26	Home	Worksop Town	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Hartlepool	3 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Solihull Moors	0 - 3	Win
Apr 14, 26	Away	Wealdstone	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Truro City	1 - 0	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Brackley Town	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	York	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Boston United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1647	Alfreton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that Boston United has a 39.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.21 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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