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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

Aluminij Nafta
Aluminij L L D D L D
Nafta W W L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Nafta with a 38% probability. Nafta has a modest quality edge and moderate recent form, while Aluminij are in poor recent form and have shown defensive struggles. The market odds suggest a close contest, but the model's 38% confidence in a Nafta win is somewhat lower than what the odds imply, indicating it sees the away side as less favored than betting prices suggest.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Aluminij Nafta 2 - 3 June 30, 2021

Aluminij Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away Olimpija Ljubljana 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Away Dinamo Tirana 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 23, 26 Home Dinamo Tirana 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 19, 26 Home Maribor 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 16, 26 Home Sheriff Tiraspol 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 9, 26 Away Sheriff Tiraspol 0 - 0 Draw

Nafta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Mura 5 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Bravo 0 - 3 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Koper 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home FK Partizan 1 - 4 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Budapest Honved 0 - 3 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home FC Voluntari 0 - 3 Loss

1. SNL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Nafta 3 2 0 1 8 4 +4 6
9 Aluminij 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.94% likelihood that both Aluminij and Nafta will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Aluminij or Nafta to win
This prediction indicates that Nafta has a 38.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.50 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks
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Odds Comparison
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