Amesbury Town vs Salisbury Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Amesbury Town Salisbury

Amesbury Town L L L L

Salisbury D W L L L W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 7, 21	Home	Shaftesbury Town	1 - 4	Loss
Sep 1, 20	Away	Badshot Lea	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 10, 19	Home	Christchurch	2 - 7	Loss
Aug 15, 15	Home	Bemerton Heath Harleq.	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Hemel Hempstead Town	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Horsham	2 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Tonbridge Angels	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Weston-super-Mare	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Away	AFC Totton	2 - 1	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Home	Dover	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Salisbury	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Amesbury Town	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Salisbury has a 60.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.71 %

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