Amiens vs Chambly Thelle FC Friday 31st July 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Amiens Chambly Thelle FC

Amiens D L D W W L

Chambly Thelle FC D W D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model leans slightly toward an Amiens home win, though the prediction is close given Chambly Thelle FC's rest advantage and recent dominance in head-to-head matchups. Despite Chambly's strong attacking form recently, their historical meetings with Amiens have been low-scoring affairs, which pulls the prediction toward under 1.5 and under 2.5 goals. Both teams are in moderate form, and while Amiens holds a modest quality edge, it's not enough to clearly separate them—reflected in the relatively balanced probabilities across most markets.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Amiens	Chambly Thelle FC	0 - 1	July 13, 2024
Chambly Thelle FC	Amiens	1 - 1	October 30, 2022
Chambly Thelle FC	Amiens	2 - 0	April 17, 2021
Amiens	Chambly Thelle FC	1 - 1	December 12, 2020
Amiens	Chambly Thelle FC	0 - 0	August 1, 2020
Amiens	Chambly Thelle FC	0 - 2	November 12, 2016

Amiens Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Kortrijk	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Home	Boulogne	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Reims	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Quevilly	2 - 1	Win
Jul 17, 26	Away	LE Havre	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Gobelins	2 - 4	Loss

Chambly Thelle FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 15, 25	Away	Steenvoorde	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 3, 24	Home	Pays de Cassel	4 - 0	Win
Jul 24, 24	Home	Rouen	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 17, 24	Home	Boulogne	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 13, 24	Away	Amiens	0 - 1	Win
Jan 5, 24	Home	Racing Colombes 92	1 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Amiens to win

This prediction indicates that Amiens has a 45.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.94 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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