Estac Troyes vs Chasselay MDA Friday 31st July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Estac Troyes Chasselay MDA

Estac Troyes L W W L W W

Chasselay MDA L D W D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Estac Troyes are favored to win this friendly, backed by a clear quality advantage and strong recent attacking form. Chasselay MDA do bring a rest advantage that could help them stay competitive, and both teams are in moderate form, which keeps the match relatively tight. The prediction leans slightly toward over 2.5 goals overall, suggesting the quality difference may show up in a moderately productive game rather than a low-scoring one, though a close scoreline is also plausible.

Estac Troyes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Grenoble	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	RED Star FC 93	1 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Nancy	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Grenoble	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Laval	4 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Saint Etienne	0 - 3	Win

Chasselay MDA Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Dec 20, 24	Home	Annecy	1 - 2	Loss
Nov 30, 24	Away	Rumilly Vallières	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 16, 24	Away	Chaumont	2 - 3	Win
May 18, 24	Home	Orleans	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 24	Away	Versailles	0 - 1	Win
May 3, 24	Home	Nimes	1 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Estac Troyes to win

This prediction indicates that Estac Troyes has a 63.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.58 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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