Aveley vs Tilbury Friday 31st July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Aveley Tilbury

Aveley L L W L W D

Tilbury L W L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aveley	Tilbury	3 - 2	July 19, 2025
Tilbury	Aveley	0 - 4	September 13, 2014

Aveley Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Ebbsfleet United	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Leiston	2 - 4	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Home	Folkestone Invicta	3 - 2	Win
Oct 11, 25	Home	Gateshead	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 29, 25	Home	Halesowen Town	1 - 0	Win
Sep 27, 25	Away	Halesowen Town	0 - 0	Draw

Tilbury Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 25	Away	Needham Market	4 - 2	Loss
Aug 16, 25	Home	AFC Dunstable	1 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 25	Away	Aveley	3 - 2	Loss
Sep 14, 24	Home	Chelmsford City	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 3, 24	Away	Brantham Athletic	1 - 2	Win
Aug 31, 24	Home	Brantham Athletic	2 - 2	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.2% likelihood that both Aveley and Tilbury will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Aveley or Tilbury to win

This prediction indicates that Aveley has a 40.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.25 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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