Torquay vs Exeter City Friday 31st July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Torquay Exeter City

Torquay D W W L W W

Exeter City L D D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Torquay	Exeter City	1 - 1	July 25, 2025
Torquay	Exeter City	2 - 2	July 30, 2024
Torquay	Exeter City	4 - 1	July 22, 2023
Torquay	Exeter City	1 - 0	July 23, 2022
Exeter City	Torquay	1 - 2	April 21, 2014
Torquay	Exeter City	1 - 3	December 29, 2013

Torquay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 9, 26	Away	AFC Hornchurch	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Dorking Wanderers	4 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Tonbridge Angels	1 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Hemel Hempstead Town	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Slough Town	1 - 5	Win
Apr 6, 26	Home	Bath City	4 - 1	Win

Exeter City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Bradford	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Burton Albion	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Stockport County	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Plymouth	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Home	Doncaster	3 - 0	Win
Apr 3, 26	Away	Blackpool	1 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.77% likelihood that both Torquay and Exeter City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Torquay to win

This prediction indicates that Torquay has a 48.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.58 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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