Ammanford AFC vs Penybont Friday 18th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Premier League

Sept. 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Ammanford AFC Penybont

Ammanford AFC L D L L D L

Penybont D D W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Home	Cardiff MET	0 - 5	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	Trefelin	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	GAP Connah S Quay FC	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 14, 26	Away	Airbus UK	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Home	Colwyn Bay	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 31, 26	Away	Briton Ferry	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Away	Cambrian & Clydach	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Home	Flint Town United	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Home	Llandudno	2 - 1	Win
Aug 14, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	0 - 3	Win
Aug 7, 26	Away	Caernarfon Town	1 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 26	Home	The New Saints	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Penybont	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
12	Ammanford AFC	5	0	2	3	4	9	-5	2

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Penybont has a 52.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.23 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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