Ammerthal vs Bayreuth Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ammerthal Bayreuth

Ammerthal L L L L L D

Bayreuth D L W W L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bayreuth	Ammerthal	6 - 4	January 28, 2025

Ammerthal Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 7, 26	Away	Vilzing	6 - 1	Loss
Feb 15, 25	Away	Vilzing	3 - 0	Loss
Jan 28, 25	Away	Bayreuth	6 - 4	Loss
Jun 22, 24	Home	Vilzing	0 - 5	Loss
Feb 10, 24	Away	Vilzing	5 - 1	Loss
Jan 30, 24	Away	Nürnberg II	2 - 2	Draw

Bayreuth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 22, 26	Away	FC Schweinfurt 05	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 14, 26	Away	Ansbach	2 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Home	ASV Neumarkt	5 - 1	Win
Jan 24, 26	Home	Gebenbach	1 - 0	Win
Jul 16, 25	Home	Chemnitzer FC	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 11, 25	Home	Erzgebirge AUE	2 - 4	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
513	Bayreuth	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7
2738	Ammerthal	1	0	0	1	1	6	-5	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.2% likelihood that both Ammerthal and Bayreuth will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bayreuth to win

This prediction indicates that Bayreuth has a 72.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.37 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 78.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 74.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs