Arka Gdynia vs Olimpia Grudziądz Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Arka Gdynia Olimpia Grudziądz

Arka Gdynia L L L D D L

Olimpia Grudziądz L W D W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Arka Gdynia	Olimpia Grudziądz	5 - 3	January 18, 2025
Arka Gdynia	Olimpia Grudziądz	2 - 2	July 13, 2024
Arka Gdynia	Olimpia Grudziądz	1 - 0	January 26, 2022

Arka Gdynia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	GKS Katowice	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Raków Częstochowa	3 - 0	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Nieciecza	2 - 3	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Gornik Zabrze	0 - 0	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Lech Poznan	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 27, 26	Away	Piast Gliwice	4 - 1	Loss

Olimpia Grudziądz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 2, 26	Home	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Świt Skolwin	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Hutnik Kraków	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2 - 2	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
247	Arka Gdynia	4	3	1	0	11	2	+9	10
474	Olimpia Grudziądz	5	2	2	1	9	10	-1	8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.74% likelihood that both Arka Gdynia and Olimpia Grudziądz will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Arka Gdynia to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Arka Gdynia has a 34.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.77 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs