Arka Gdynia vs Petrolul Ploiesti Friday 03rd July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Arka Gdynia Petrolul Ploiesti

Arka Gdynia L L L D D L

Petrolul Ploiesti W L D D L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	GKS Katowice	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Raków Częstochowa	3 - 0	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Nieciecza	2 - 3	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Gornik Zabrze	0 - 0	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Lech Poznan	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 27, 26	Away	Piast Gliwice	4 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Lechia Gdansk	0 - 5	Win
May 18, 26	Home	Oţelul	1 - 5	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	FC Botosani	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Uta Arad	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Away	FCSB	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	AFC Hermannstadt	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
247	Arka Gdynia	4	3	1	0	11	2	+9	10
512	Petrolul Ploiesti	4	2	1	1	8	5	+3	7

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Petrolul Ploiesti has a 35.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.30 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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