Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma Sunday 21st June 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Arsenal Tula Spartak Kostroma

Arsenal Tula L L L D D D

Spartak Kostroma L D L D W L

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Spartak Kostroma	Arsenal Tula	1 - 1	April 25, 2026
Arsenal Tula	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 2	September 13, 2025

Arsenal Tula Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 17, 26	Home	Volga Ulyanovsk	1 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Rodina Moskva	1 - 4	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Enisey	1 - 0	Loss
May 4, 26	Home	Rotor Volgograd	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	0 - 0	Draw

Spartak Kostroma Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	FC UFA	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	FK Sokol Saratov	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Away	KAMAZ	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	FK Neftekhimik	3 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
96	Spartak Kostroma	8	4	2	2	15	7	+8	14
543	Arsenal Tula	7	2	1	4	12	17	-5	7

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.0% likelihood that both Arsenal Tula and Spartak Kostroma will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Spartak Kostroma to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Spartak Kostroma has a 40.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 39.02 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs