Arsenal W vs Køge Tuesday 22nd September 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

UEFA Champions League Women

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Arsenal W Køge

Arsenal W L W L W W W

Køge D W W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Arsenal W	Køge	3 - 0	November 17, 2021
Køge	Arsenal W	1 - 5	November 10, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Lyon W	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Lyon W	2 - 1	Win
Apr 1, 26	Away	Chelsea W	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 24, 26	Home	Chelsea W	3 - 1	Win
Feb 18, 26	Home	OH Leuven W	3 - 1	Win
Feb 11, 26	Away	OH Leuven W	0 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 2, 26	Home	PSV/Eindhoven W	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 26, 26	Away	PSV/Eindhoven W	0 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Hearts W	2 - 1	Win
Aug 5, 26	Home	Riga W	4 - 1	Win
Sep 9, 23	Home	KÍ	3 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 23	Home	KuPS W	1 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Arsenal W has a 66.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.41 %

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