Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Atlanta United FC
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
L
L
D
L
L
D
Charlotte
L
W
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | Atlanta United FC | 2 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| Atlanta United FC | Charlotte | 2 - 3 | July 19, 2025 |
| Charlotte | Atlanta United FC | 2 - 0 | March 1, 2025 |
| Charlotte | Atlanta United FC | 0 - 1 | August 31, 2024 |
| Atlanta United FC | Charlotte | 2 - 3 | June 2, 2024 |
| Atlanta United FC | Charlotte | 1 - 3 | May 13, 2023 |
Atlanta United FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Philadelphia Union | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Charlotte | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Charlotte Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Chicago Fire | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | New York Red Bulls | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Atlanta United FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | New England Revolution | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Toronto FC | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | New York City FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Charlotte | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | +2 | 25 |
| 30 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 12 |
Predictions
Atlanta United FC or Charlotte to win
This prediction indicates that Charlotte has a 37.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.71 %Most Likely Scorelines
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