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Primera C

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 0
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Match Analysis

Atletico Atlas Canuelas
Atletico Atlas L D L W W W
Canuelas W L W W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Canuelas with a 43% probability. Canuelas is seen as the stronger team, with better recent form and a history of dominating Atletico Atlas, despite both sides having similar rest before the match. The market odds imply a slightly lower chance of an away win than the model suggests, as they are less favorable compared to the home side's odds. The model also leans toward 'under' for both over/under 1.5 and 2.5 goals, and 'no' for both teams to score, although it is less confident in these outcomes compared to the main prediction.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Canuelas Atletico Atlas 1 - 0 April 11, 2026
Canuelas Atletico Atlas 2 - 1 June 28, 2025
Atletico Atlas Canuelas 0 - 0 March 16, 2025
Canuelas Atletico Atlas 2 - 1 March 11, 2014
Atletico Atlas Canuelas 0 - 3 September 24, 2013
Canuelas Atletico Atlas 0 - 1 April 22, 2012

Atletico Atlas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 4, 26 Home Sacachispas 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Away Deportivo Muñiz 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Deportivo Español 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Central Cordoba 0 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Claypole 2 - 1 Win
Jun 30, 26 Away Central Ballester 0 - 2 Win

Canuelas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Away Yupanqui 1 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Deportivo Muñiz 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Leandro N. Alem 1 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Deportivo Español 0 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Central Cordoba 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 30, 26 Away Claypole 0 - 2 Win

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Canuelas 22 10 9 3 25 14 +11 39
19 Atletico Atlas 22 6 8 8 17 21 -4 26

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Canuelas to win
This prediction indicates that Canuelas has a 43.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.23 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks
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Odds Comparison
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