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Primera Nacional

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 1
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Match Analysis

Atletico Mitre Defensores De Belgrano
Atletico Mitre W D W L D L
Defensores De Belgrano D D L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but Atletico Mitre have shown moderate recent form compared to Defensores De Belgrano's poor recent performance. The model predicts a draw will occur in about 36% of similar scenarios, which is roughly in line with what the market odds suggest. Additionally, recent meetings between these teams have usually ended level with few goals, leading the model to predict fewer goals overall, especially under 2.5, which it sees as a strong tip.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Defensores De Belgrano Atletico Mitre 0 - 0 March 21, 2026
Atletico Mitre Defensores De Belgrano 1 - 2 September 7, 2025
Defensores De Belgrano Atletico Mitre 1 - 0 May 6, 2025
Defensores De Belgrano Atletico Mitre 0 - 0 October 19, 2024
Atletico Mitre Defensores De Belgrano 2 - 0 June 2, 2024
Atletico Mitre Defensores De Belgrano 0 - 0 May 2, 2022

Atletico Mitre Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away Ciudad de Bolívar 0 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Almirante Brown 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 1 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away CA Estudiantes 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home All Boys 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away Almirante Brown 3 - 1 Loss

Defensores De Belgrano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away All Boys 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Away Godoy Cruz 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Deportivo Moron 2 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home All Boys 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Colon Santa Fe 0 - 3 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
28 Defensores De Belgrano 22 5 10 7 15 19 -4 25
29 Atletico Mitre 23 5 10 8 22 27 -5 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.75% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Atletico Mitre will score 0 goals, and Defensores De Belgrano will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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