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Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Atyrau FC Astana
Atyrau D D L L L L
FC Astana W W W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Astana Atyrau 2 - 1 April 26, 2026
Atyrau FC Astana 0 - 2 April 30, 2025
FC Astana Atyrau 2 - 1 April 26, 2025
FC Astana Atyrau 3 - 2 October 30, 2024
Atyrau FC Astana 1 - 0 May 18, 2024
FC Astana Atyrau 0 - 0 July 22, 2023

Atyrau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Aktobe 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Zhetysu 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away FK Tobol Kostanay 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Kairat Almaty 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home Kaspiy 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Kaspiy 2 - 0 Loss

FC Astana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Okzhetpes 2 - 1 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Ulytau 0 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Altay 4 - 1 Win
Jul 16, 26 Home Dinamo Tirana 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Aktobe 3 - 2 Win
Jul 9, 26 Away Dinamo Tirana 0 - 1 Win

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 FC Astana 20 11 5 4 33 21 +12 38
14 Atyrau 20 2 11 7 14 20 -6 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
FC Astana to win
This prediction indicates that FC Astana has a 64.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.41 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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