Auerbach vs Bayreuth Saturday 04th July 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Auerbach Bayreuth

Auerbach L W L L L L

Bayreuth D L W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 9, 25	Away	FSV Zwickau	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 12, 25	Away	Rot-weiss Erfurt	1 - 2	Win
Jul 13, 24	Home	ZFC Meuselwitz	0 - 5	Loss
Jul 10, 24	Home	Chemnitzer FC	0 - 3	Loss
Jan 7, 23	Away	FSV Zwickau	5 - 1	Loss
Jul 27, 22	Away	ZFC Meuselwitz	6 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 22, 26	Away	FC Schweinfurt 05	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 14, 26	Away	Ansbach	2 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Home	ASV Neumarkt	5 - 1	Win
Jan 24, 26	Home	Gebenbach	1 - 0	Win
Jul 16, 25	Home	Chemnitzer FC	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 11, 25	Home	Erzgebirge AUE	2 - 4	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
513	Bayreuth	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7
1629	Auerbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Bayreuth has a 58.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.77 %

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