Ayr Utd vs Airdrie United Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ayr Utd Airdrie United

Ayr Utd W L L L W L

Airdrie United D L L D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Airdrie United	Ayr Utd	2 - 1	April 25, 2026
Ayr Utd	Airdrie United	1 - 1	January 10, 2026
Airdrie United	Ayr Utd	0 - 1	November 22, 2025
Ayr Utd	Airdrie United	4 - 2	September 27, 2025
Airdrie United	Ayr Utd	0 - 1	May 2, 2025
Ayr Utd	Airdrie United	4 - 1	March 1, 2025

Ayr Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Glenafton Athletic	3 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Airdrie United	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Ross County	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Arbroath	1 - 0	Win
Apr 7, 26	Home	Dunfermline	0 - 3	Loss

Airdrie United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Elgin City	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	1 - 2	Loss
May 5, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Away	Morton	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Ayr Utd	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Partick	2 - 2	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
966	Ayr Utd	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
1415	Airdrie United	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.9% likelihood that both Ayr Utd and Airdrie United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Ayr Utd or Airdrie United to win

This prediction indicates that Ayr Utd has a 40.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.79 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs