AZ Alkmaar vs Gent Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

AZ Alkmaar Gent

AZ Alkmaar D D D D W D

Gent W D L D D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gent	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 2	July 16, 2025
Gent	AZ Alkmaar	0 - 1	January 7, 2022

AZ Alkmaar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	NAC Breda	3 - 3	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Feyenoord	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Twente	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 23, 26	Away	GO Ahead Eagles	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Home	NEC Nijmegen	5 - 1	Win
Apr 16, 26	Home	Shakhtar Donetsk	2 - 2	Draw

Gent Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Merelbeke	1 - 6	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Genk	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Club Brugge KV	5 - 0	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	Union St. Gilloise	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	St. Truiden	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Anderlecht	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
610	Gent	2	2	0	0	8	1	+7	6
1629	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.11% likelihood that both AZ Alkmaar and Gent will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

AZ Alkmaar to win

This prediction indicates that AZ Alkmaar has a 56.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.76 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs