Badshot Lea vs Aldershot Town Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Badshot Lea Aldershot Town

Badshot Lea L L L W W L

Aldershot Town L L L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Badshot Lea	Aldershot Town	0 - 6	July 12, 2025
Badshot Lea	Aldershot Town	3 - 4	July 6, 2024
Badshot Lea	Aldershot Town	0 - 3	July 1, 2023
Badshot Lea	Aldershot Town	0 - 4	July 2, 2022
Badshot Lea	Aldershot Town	1 - 2	July 10, 2021

Badshot Lea Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 25	Home	Steyning Town	3 - 6	Loss
Jul 12, 25	Home	Aldershot Town	0 - 6	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Home	Cray Valley PM	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 17, 24	Home	Balham	4 - 1	Win
Aug 3, 24	Home	Stansfeld	1 - 0	Win
Jul 6, 24	Home	Aldershot Town	3 - 4	Loss

Aldershot Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Truro City	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Brackley Town	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Home	Southend	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Gateshead	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Wealdstone	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Sutton Utd	2 - 2	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Aldershot Town	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Badshot Lea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.55% likelihood that both Badshot Lea and Aldershot Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Aldershot Town to win

This prediction indicates that Aldershot Town has a 45.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.36 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 76.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs