Barrow vs Workington Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Barrow Workington

Barrow L L L W L L

Workington L L L D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Newport County	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Cambridge United	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Walsall	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Home	Oldham	3 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Barnet	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Chesterfield	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 25	Home	Stalybridge Celtic	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Home	Hebburn Town	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 24	Away	Clitheroe	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 20, 24	Home	Morecambe	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 13, 24	Home	Carlisle	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 15, 23	Away	Darlington 1883	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Workington	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Barrow will score 0 goals, and Workington will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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