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USL Championship
Birmingham Legion logo Birmingham Legion
Aug. 23, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
Sporting JAX logo Sporting JAX

Match Analysis

Birmingham Legion Sporting JAX
Birmingham Legion W L D L D D
Sporting JAX L L D W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Birmingham Legion Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Home Rhode Island 1 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Away Louisville City 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Away Miami FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 3, 26 Home Detroit City 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Loudoun United 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Away Oakland Roots 1 - 1 Draw

Sporting JAX Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away Sacramento Republic 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away El Paso Locomotive 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Brooklyn 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 15, 26 Home Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2 - 1 Win
Jul 8, 26 Away Austin 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Away Loudoun United 2 - 2 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
22 Birmingham Legion 17 3 8 6 18 21 -3 17
25 Sporting JAX 19 1 5 13 23 51 -28 8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.94% likelihood that both Birmingham Legion and Sporting JAX will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Birmingham Legion to win
This prediction indicates that Birmingham Legion has a 54.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.98 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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