Louisville City vs San Antonio Sunday 09th August 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Louisville City San Antonio

Louisville City L W D W D L

San Antonio L D W L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
San Antonio	Louisville City	1 - 1	October 20, 2024
Louisville City	San Antonio	1 - 0	April 15, 2023
San Antonio	Louisville City	3 - 1	November 14, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Hartford Athletic	1 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Brooklyn	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 11, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	0 - 2	Win
Jun 4, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Monterey Bay	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 25, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	1 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Lexington	2 - 0	Loss
May 27, 26	Away	Sporting JAX	4 - 4	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Sacramento Republic	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	San Antonio	16	6	7	3	21	19	+2	25
7	Louisville City	16	7	3	6	26	25	+1	24

This prediction indicates that Louisville City has a 50.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.87 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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