FC Tulsa vs Detroit City Sunday 09th August 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Tulsa Detroit City

FC Tulsa W L W L D W

Detroit City W W W D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Detroit City	FC Tulsa	0 - 1	August 24, 2024
FC Tulsa	Detroit City	3 - 2	July 1, 2023
Detroit City	FC Tulsa	1 - 1	May 6, 2023
Detroit City	FC Tulsa	2 - 2	September 24, 2022
FC Tulsa	Detroit City	3 - 1	May 8, 2022

FC Tulsa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 0	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Home	Monterey Bay	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	5 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Hartford Athletic	2 - 0	Win

Detroit City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	2 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Sporting JAX	2 - 6	Win
Jun 10, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Loudoun United	0 - 0	Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Detroit City	15	8	3	4	23	14	+9	27
9	FC Tulsa	14	6	4	4	18	16	+2	22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

FC Tulsa to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that FC Tulsa has a 37.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.38 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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