Boreham Wood vs Watford Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Boreham Wood Watford

Boreham Wood D D D W W W

Watford L L L L L D

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Boreham Wood	Watford	0 - 2	July 8, 2025
Boreham Wood	Watford	0 - 1	July 10, 2024
Boreham Wood	Watford	0 - 0	July 5, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 10, 26	Home	Rochdale	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Carlisle	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 29, 26	Home	Forest Green	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Sutton Utd	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Morecambe	0 - 3	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Hartlepool	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Coventry	0 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Middlesbrough	5 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Away	West Brom	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Sheffield Utd	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Oxford United	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Charlton	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Watford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Boreham Wood	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.75% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Watford has a 37.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.95 %

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