Botev Plovdiv vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Botev Plovdiv Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Botev Plovdiv W W W L W L

Etar Veliko Tarnovo L L L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Botev Plovdiv	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	2 - 0	February 23, 2024
Etar Veliko Tarnovo	Botev Plovdiv	1 - 2	August 27, 2023
Etar Veliko Tarnovo	Botev Plovdiv	0 - 0	March 19, 2021
Botev Plovdiv	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	1 - 1	October 19, 2020
Botev Plovdiv	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	3 - 0	July 31, 2020
Botev Plovdiv	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	1 - 0	July 7, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Ballkani	2 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	2 - 1	Win
Jun 23, 26	Home	Spartak Pleven	4 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Cherno More Varna	5 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Ludogorets	7 - 4	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Away	Levski Sofia	6 - 0	Loss
Feb 7, 26	Home	Spartak Pleven	1 - 2	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	3 - 0	Loss
Jan 28, 26	Away	Dunav Ruse	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 23, 26	Home	Cherno More Varna	0 - 6	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Botev Plovdiv	8	8	0	0	19	2	+17	24
1391	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	7	0	2	5	8	27	-19	2

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.94% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Botev Plovdiv has a 58.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.22 %

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