Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Wednesday 01st July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Botev Plovdiv Spartak Varna

Botev Plovdiv W W W L W L

Spartak Varna D W W L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Botev Plovdiv	Spartak Varna	5 - 0	April 4, 2026
Botev Plovdiv	Spartak Varna	1 - 0	January 28, 2026
Spartak Varna	Botev Plovdiv	3 - 2	October 24, 2025
Spartak Varna	Botev Plovdiv	2 - 1	May 18, 2025
Botev Plovdiv	Spartak Varna	3 - 2	May 4, 2025
Spartak Varna	Botev Plovdiv	1 - 0	February 15, 2025

Botev Plovdiv Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Ballkani	2 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	2 - 1	Win
Jun 23, 26	Home	Spartak Pleven	4 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Cherno More Varna	5 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	1 - 2	Loss

Spartak Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dunav Ruse	0 - 0	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Sofia	3 - 0	Win
May 18, 26	Away	Montana	0 - 2	Win
May 14, 26	Away	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Slavia Sofia	2 - 1	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Dobrudzha	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Botev Plovdiv	8	8	0	0	19	2	+17	24
304	Spartak Varna	5	3	1	1	6	3	+3	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Botev Plovdiv to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Botev Plovdiv has a 43.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.10 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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