Bourneview Mill vs Portadown Tuesday 07th July 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Bourneview Mill Portadown

Bourneview Mill L

Portadown W W L D D D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 24	Home	Loughgall	0 - 9	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Bangor	2 - 4	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Ballymena United	1 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Crusaders FC	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 7, 26	Home	Carrick Rangers	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Away	Glenavon FC	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 21, 26	Home	Crusaders FC	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Portadown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1647	Bourneview Mill	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Portadown has a 63.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.70 %

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