Briton Ferry vs Trefelin Friday 18th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Premier League

Sept. 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Briton Ferry Trefelin

Briton Ferry L L W L D W

Trefelin L D L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Home	Barry Town	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	Cardiff MET	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Away	Flint Town United	0 - 1	Win
Aug 14, 26	Away	The New Saints	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Away	Cambrian & Clydach	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 31, 26	Home	Ammanford AFC	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Home	Ammanford AFC	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Home	Caernarfon Town	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 14, 26	Away	GAP Connah S Quay FC	6 - 0	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Home	Llandudno	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Colwyn Bay	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Briton Ferry	5	2	1	2	4	6	-2	7
14	Trefelin	5	0	1	4	1	15	-14	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Briton Ferry has a 70.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.96 %

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