Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Aguilas Wednesday 14th October 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

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Bucaramanga View team ›

Oct. 14, 2026 3 hours ago VS

Rionegro Aguilas View team ›

Match Analysis

Bucaramanga Rionegro Aguilas

Bucaramanga W W W D W D

Rionegro Aguilas D W L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees Bucaramanga as the stronger side, with a clear quality gap in their favor and better recent form compared to Rionegro Aguilas. It also notes that Bucaramanga has dominated their recent meetings and has a rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 52% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model believes both teams are likely to score and that the game will see more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market odds for these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rionegro Aguilas	Bucaramanga	2 - 1	April 7, 2026
Bucaramanga	Rionegro Aguilas	4 - 0	August 25, 2025
Rionegro Aguilas	Bucaramanga	0 - 1	March 8, 2025
Rionegro Aguilas	Bucaramanga	1 - 3	October 21, 2024
Bucaramanga	Rionegro Aguilas	1 - 0	March 27, 2024
Bucaramanga	Rionegro Aguilas	1 - 1	August 21, 2023

Bucaramanga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 4, 26	Home	Junior	3 - 1	Win
Sep 26, 26	Away	Once Caldas	1 - 3	Win
Sep 20, 26	Home	La Equidad	2 - 0	Win
Sep 18, 26	Home	Independiente Medellin	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Deportivo Pereira	1 - 3	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Deportivo Cali	1 - 1	Draw

Rionegro Aguilas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Away	Alianza Petrolera	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 3, 26	Home	Jaguares	2 - 0	Win
Sep 28, 26	Away	Deportivo Cali	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 24, 26	Away	America de Cali	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 18, 26	Home	Deportivo Pereira	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Atletico Nacional	2 - 0	Loss

Primera A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Bucaramanga	30	11	13	6	46	30	+16	46
13	Rionegro Aguilas	31	10	11	10	36	42	-6	41

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.88% likelihood that both Bucaramanga and Rionegro Aguilas will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bucaramanga to win

This prediction indicates that Bucaramanga has a 51.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.85 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Millonarios vs Once Caldas an hour ago · 4:30 a.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Bucaramanga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Rionegro Aguilas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Primera A Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Bucaramanga to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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