Millonarios vs Once Caldas Wednesday 14th October 2026 04:30 AM football predictions.

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Millonarios View team ›

Oct. 14, 2026 an hour ago VS

Once Caldas View team ›

Match Analysis

Millonarios Once Caldas

Millonarios D D D D W W

Once Caldas W D L L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Millonarios with a 58% probability. It sees a modest quality edge for Millonarios, though both teams have moderate recent form and similar rest. The market odds imply slightly less confidence in a home win than the model does. The model also leans toward "over" for the Over/Under 1.5 goals line, with a 52% chance, which aligns somewhat with the market's view, but predicts a slight edge toward "under" for Over/Under 2.5 goals at 49% for over, differing modestly from the market's near-even split.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Once Caldas	Millonarios	1 - 4	March 21, 2026
Millonarios	Once Caldas	0 - 0	October 30, 2025
Millonarios	Once Caldas	2 - 2	June 12, 2025
Once Caldas	Millonarios	0 - 0	June 9, 2025
Once Caldas	Millonarios	2 - 2	May 12, 2025
Once Caldas	Millonarios	1 - 0	March 6, 2025

Millonarios Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Away	Fortaleza FC	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 3, 26	Home	Barranquilla	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 30, 26	Away	Independiente Medellin	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 25, 26	Away	Atletico Nacional	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Home	Chico	3 - 0	Win
Sep 14, 26	Away	Cucuta	1 - 2	Win

Once Caldas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Llaneros	1 - 0	Win
Oct 4, 26	Away	La Equidad	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	Bucaramanga	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Away	Deportivo Pasto	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 16, 26	Home	Deportes Tolima	1 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 26	Home	Deportivo Cali	1 - 2	Loss

Primera A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Once Caldas	34	12	14	8	49	41	+8	50
8	Millonarios	33	12	12	9	50	35	+15	48

Predictions

Millonarios to win

This prediction indicates that Millonarios has a 57.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.55 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Aguilas 3 hours ago · 2:30 a.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Millonarios Form (Last 6 Matches)

Once Caldas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Primera A Table

Predictions

Millonarios to win

Over 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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