Celta Vigo vs Alaves Sunday 18th October 2026 05:15 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo View team ›
Oct. 18, 2026 15 hours from now VS
Alaves logo Alaves View team ›

Match Analysis

Celta Vigo Alaves
Celta Vigo L D W L D D
Alaves L D L L W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Celta Vigo Alaves 3 - 4 March 22, 2026
Alaves Celta Vigo 0 - 1 November 22, 2025
Alaves Celta Vigo 1 - 1 January 27, 2025
Celta Vigo Alaves 2 - 1 August 16, 2024
Alaves Celta Vigo 3 - 0 April 27, 2024
Celta Vigo Alaves 1 - 1 September 28, 2023

Celta Vigo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 15, 26 Home Juventus 1 - 2 Loss
Oct 11, 26 Away Elche 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Home Racing Santander 5 - 0 Win
Sep 16, 26 Away Omonia Nicosia 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 13, 26 Home Malaga 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 7, 26 Away Getafe 1 - 1 Draw

Alaves Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Away Athletic Club 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 15, 26 Home Valencia 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away Racing Santander 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Home Osasuna 5 - 2 Win
Aug 28, 26 Home Villarreal 1 - 0 Win

La Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Alaves 8 3 2 3 12 8 +4 11
9 Celta Vigo 8 1 5 2 8 6 +2 8

Predictions

Celta Vigo to win
This prediction indicates that Celta Vigo has a 48.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.47 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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