Charleroi vs Reims Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Charleroi Reims

Charleroi W D L W W W

Reims W D D W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Reims	Charleroi	3 - 1	July 19, 2023
Reims	Charleroi	3 - 0	December 16, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Standard Liege	0 - 2	Win
May 19, 26	Home	OH Leuven	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	KVC Westerlo	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Antwerp	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Genk	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	OH Leuven	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 9, 26	Home	PAU	5 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Le Mans	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Nancy	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	RED Star FC 93	3 - 2	Win
Apr 10, 26	Away	Laval	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Home	Ajaccio	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Reims	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2282	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.62% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Reims has a 35.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.69 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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