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USL Championship

July 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Charleston Battery Sacramento Republic
Charleston Battery L W W W D W
Sacramento Republic L W L L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sacramento Republic Charleston Battery 1 - 0 October 23, 2025
Charleston Battery Sacramento Republic 2 - 1 September 7, 2024
Sacramento Republic Charleston Battery 1 - 1 March 19, 2023
Charleston Battery Sacramento Republic 2 - 4 July 30, 2022

Charleston Battery Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Away Indy Eleven 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 24, 26 Home Loudoun United 4 - 1 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Sporting JAX 2 - 5 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home FC Tulsa 5 - 1 Win
Jun 10, 26 Away Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 2 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Detroit City 2 - 0 Win

Sacramento Republic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home New Mexico United 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Colorado Springs 0 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Away Phoenix Rising 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Away San Antonio 2 - 1 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Orange County SC 3 - 2 Win
Apr 21, 26 Away Brooklyn 1 - 1 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Charleston Battery 14 8 2 4 30 19 +11 26
15 Sacramento Republic 12 4 4 4 13 12 +1 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.15% likelihood that both Charleston Battery and Sacramento Republic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Charleston Battery to win
This prediction indicates that Charleston Battery has a 44.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.29 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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