Chelmsford City vs Horsham Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - South

Chelmsford City

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Horsham

Match Analysis

Chelmsford City Horsham

Chelmsford City D D D W D D

Horsham D D L W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Horsham	Chelmsford City	2 - 3	January 24, 2026
Chelmsford City	Horsham	1 - 0	August 9, 2025

Chelmsford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Dorking Wanderers	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Salisbury	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Away	Weston-super-Mare	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Maidenhead	1 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Folkestone Invicta	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Truro City	0 - 0	Draw

Horsham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Folkestone Invicta	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Dagenham & Redbridge	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Farnham Town	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Braintree	1 - 2	Win
Aug 18, 26	Home	Hampton & Richmond	2 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Salisbury	0 - 0	Draw

National League - South Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Horsham	6	2	3	1	7	5	+2	9
16	Chelmsford City	6	1	5	0	5	4	+1	8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.75% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Chelmsford City to win

This prediction indicates that Chelmsford City has a 50.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.37 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - South

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Chelmsford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Horsham Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - South Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Chelmsford City to win

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League - South

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