Chemnitzer FC vs FC Schweinfurt 05 Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Chemnitzer FC FC Schweinfurt 05

Chemnitzer FC W W D D D W

FC Schweinfurt 05 L D L L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 23, 26	Home	Plauen	3 - 0	Win
Jan 18, 26	Home	Podbrezová	5 - 2	Win
Jan 17, 26	Home	Wuppertaler SV	1 - 1	Draw
Jan 13, 26	Away	Fortuna Koln	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 19, 25	Home	1. FC Magdeburg	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 16, 25	Away	Bayreuth	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Abtswind	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 24, 26	Home	BSG Chemie Leipzig	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Erzgebirge AUE	2 - 4	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Havelse	3 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	TSV 1860 München	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Waldhof Mannheim	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
437	Chemnitzer FC	4	2	2	0	12	6	+6	8
787	FC Schweinfurt 05	5	1	2	2	7	12	-5	5

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Chemnitzer FC has a 63.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.41 %

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