Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Cherno More Varna Dunav Ruse

Cherno More Varna W L L W W D

Dunav Ruse D L L D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cherno More Varna	Dunav Ruse	2 - 1	February 1, 2025
Cherno More Varna	Dunav Ruse	4 - 0	July 10, 2024
Cherno More Varna	Dunav Ruse	0 - 0	February 7, 2024
Dunav Ruse	Cherno More Varna	2 - 1	July 5, 2023
Cherno More Varna	Dunav Ruse	2 - 1	February 1, 2023
Dunav Ruse	Cherno More Varna	0 - 0	September 1, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 24, 26	Away	Yantra 2019	0 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	2 - 3	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Botev Plovdiv	5 - 0	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Botev Plovdiv	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Arda Kardzhali	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Spartak Varna	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	1 - 2	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	CSKA Sofia	3 - 1	Loss
Jan 28, 26	Home	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 24, 26	Home	Spartak Varna	1 - 3	Loss
Jan 17, 26	Away	CS Dinamo București	0 - 5	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
84	Cherno More Varna	7	5	0	2	13	3	+10	15
757	Dunav Ruse	6	1	2	3	10	10	0	5

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cherno More Varna has a 41.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.36 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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