First League
Match Analysis
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
D
D
D
W
W
D
Ludogorets
L
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | Cherno More Varna | 0 - 0 | April 9, 2026 |
| Cherno More Varna | Ludogorets | 0 - 0 | November 2, 2025 |
| Cherno More Varna | Ludogorets | 2 - 0 | May 13, 2025 |
| Ludogorets | Cherno More Varna | 2 - 0 | April 27, 2025 |
| Cherno More Varna | Ludogorets | 1 - 1 | February 22, 2025 |
| Ludogorets | Cherno More Varna | 0 - 0 | September 1, 2024 |
Cherno More Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Botev Vratsa | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Dunav Ruse | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Dobrudzha | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Farul Constanta | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Spartak Pleven | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Ludogorets Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Teuta Durrës | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Septemvri Sofia | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | FC Botosani | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 7 - 4 | Win |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ludogorets | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Cherno More Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ludogorets to win
This prediction indicates that Ludogorets has a 43.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.56 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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