Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Saturday 08th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

First League

Cherno More Varna

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

2 – 3

Full Time

Ludogorets

Match Analysis

Cherno More Varna Ludogorets

Cherno More Varna L L D D D W

Ludogorets W D W L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, matches between Cherno More Varna and Ludogorets have often ended in draws, with goals being scarce in these encounters. However, the model predicts an away win with a 51% probability, reflecting Ludogorets's clear quality advantage and stronger recent form, despite Cherno More Varna's past resilience. The model also leans towards 'over' for 1.5 goals at 51%, aligning somewhat with the market’s slight favor for a higher-scoring game, though it sees a tighter contest suggested by the odds. Finally, the prediction suggests an 'under' for 2.5 goals at 48%, indicating a view that while goals may be scored, a high-scoring match is less likely.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ludogorets	Cherno More Varna	0 - 0	April 9, 2026
Cherno More Varna	Ludogorets	0 - 0	November 2, 2025
Cherno More Varna	Ludogorets	2 - 0	May 13, 2025
Ludogorets	Cherno More Varna	2 - 0	April 27, 2025
Cherno More Varna	Ludogorets	1 - 1	February 22, 2025
Ludogorets	Cherno More Varna	0 - 0	September 1, 2024

Cherno More Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Botev Plovdiv	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Spartak Varna	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Botev Vratsa	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Dunav Ruse	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 8, 26	Home	Dobrudzha	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 8, 26	Away	Farul Constanta	0 - 1	Win

Ludogorets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Home	Botev Vratsa	2 - 1	Win
Jul 30, 26	Home	Hapoel Tel Aviv	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 27, 26	Away	Dunav Ruse	0 - 2	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Hapoel Tel Aviv	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 0	Loss

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Ludogorets	3	3	0	0	5	1	+4	9
13	Cherno More Varna	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ludogorets to win

This prediction indicates that Ludogorets has a 51.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.06 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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