Chesham United vs Maidenhead Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - South

Chesham United

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Maidenhead

Match Analysis

Chesham United Maidenhead

Chesham United L L D W W L

Maidenhead L W D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chesham United	Maidenhead	1 - 1	January 24, 2026
Maidenhead	Chesham United	1 - 2	August 9, 2025

Chesham United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Billericay Town	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Truro City	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Dover	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	AFC Totton	0 - 4	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Walton & Hersham	2 - 0	Win
Aug 19, 26	Away	Farnborough	1 - 0	Loss

Maidenhead Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Torquay	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Dover	0 - 3	Win
Aug 31, 26	Home	AFC Totton	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Chelmsford City	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Farnborough	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 18, 26	Away	Hemel Hempstead Town	0 - 1	Win

National League - South Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Maidenhead	7	2	3	2	6	5	+1	9
19	Chesham United	7	2	1	4	11	12	-1	7

Predictions

Chesham United to win

This prediction indicates that Chesham United has a 41.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.47 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - South

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Chesham United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Maidenhead Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - South Table

Predictions

Chesham United to win

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League - South

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